2

Gold Digger

3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 89

Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Landed odds in a Windsor novice on seasonal return and wasn't disgraced when ninth of 27 on handicap debut back at the Royal Meeting last month. Ran about as well as could've been expected when sixth in Sandown Group 3 in July before proving too free in cheekpieces back in a handicap at Goodwood.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 14/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f3y Goo 12814/0551 @ Royal Ascot 20/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 17 · OR - · 6f GF 128 · HIGHER CLASS20/0614 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 94 · 6f12y GF 135 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 94 par1/064OR 942 @ Royal Ascot 19/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 27 · OR 94 · 5f GF 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/06/2026 · OR 94 par19/062OR 941 @ Sandown 04/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 93 · 5f10y Goo 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 93 par4/071OR 933 @ Goodwood 28/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR 92 · 6f Goo 130 · beat its mark28/07/2026 · OR 92 par28/073OR 92projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Goodwood313th13th0
2026-07-04Sandown16th3rd+2
2026-06-19Royal Ascot29th8th+1
2026-06-01Windsor41st2nd1
2025-06-20Royal Ascot16th3rd+2
2025-05-14Yarmouth51st3rd2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0520/061/0619/064/0728/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 9
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
20/06/20256th7/163%69%+0.06
01/06/20261st1/599%100%+0.01
19/06/20269th9/276%69%-0.07
04/07/20266th12/137%38%+0.01
28/07/202613th8/158%37%-0.21