Passing Thought
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 82
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#8
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Thirsk | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Musselburgh | 4 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-06-19 | Royal Ascot | 2 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-25 | Newbury | 1 | 7th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-09-22 | Hamilton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/07/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 25/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 19/06/2026 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |