8
Powdering
6yo Mare · 9-3 · OR 79
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#9
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.1
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Newmarket | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newmarket | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Haydock | 1 | 14th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Ripon | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 01/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 22/05/2026 | 14th | 150/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 26/06/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 71% | -0.11 |
| 21/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 80% | +0.25 |