10
Tarot
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 78
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength24%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-07-31 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Newmarket | 2 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-10-10 | Kempton | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-15 | Kempton | 5 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 8th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 90% | +0.37 |
| 28/08/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 90% | +0.02 |
| 15/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 10/10/2025 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 30/05/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 38% | -0.18 |
| 31/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 05/09/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |