9
Zighy
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 80
Yarmouth · Goffs Two Million Series Fillies' Handicap · 6f 3y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength12%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 2.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 3
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Newmarket | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-29 | Ffos Las | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-30 | Chester | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Southwell | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 14/10/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 30/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 57% | -0.28 |
| 30/05/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 29/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |