Twilight Fun
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 74
Yarmouth · Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Handicap · 5f 42y
#5
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Newmarket | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Yarmouth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-13 | Yarmouth | 3 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Newcastle | 3 | 14th | 13th | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Chelmsford City | 2 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/12/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 29/01/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 88% | +0.11 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 21/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 27/03/2026 | 14th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 13/05/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 17% | -0.20 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 20/06/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.30 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |