Borora Aura
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 47
Bellewstown · Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden · 7f 205y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | BHA48 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA49 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA51 | 10th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | BHA52 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | BHA46 | 9th | 7th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.38 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 79% | +0.08 |
| 08/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 24/07/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 27% | -0.20 |
| 05/08/2026 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 14/08/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 27/08/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 18% | -0.40 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 16/09/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 85% | +0.32 |