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15:05 · Sligo

Frank O'Beirne Memorial Beginners Chase

3m 1f 182yGoing TBC4YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Top Pick1
10/1
River Tara silks

Paul McKeon

River Tara

8yo Mare · 11-5

Kayf Tara - Aulne River (River Mist)

Brian Hayes60%0/1Colm Murphy60%
22PPF9
6.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Bumper winner/fair form in maiden hurdles for Willie Mullins. Looked set to get back on track for current connections on chasing debut at Tramore (2¾m) in April, falling 2 out when the likely winner, and she could step forward from return over hurdles 10 days ago. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

20/04 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/0418/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 92%20/04Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 80%11/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 89%15/07Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 53%20/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 2/4
6
Value2
OR 107
7/1
Only For Our Man silks

Patrick Carberry

Only For Our Man

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Yeats - Baliya (Robellino)

Sean Flanagan60%0/2P Nolan
212234
7.0Going 10.0

Point winner who opened Rules account in 2¾m handicap hurdle at Down Royal in April. Has made the frame all 4 starts this season, despite seeming unsuited by the drop back to 17f when fourth of 14 at Down Royal last time. Could be in the mix sent chasing.

Class Advantage

4/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/03 · mark par4/0312/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par10/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par30/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par16/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par28/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 90%4/03Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 95%10/05Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%16/07Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 77%28/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 110
3/1
Down Around silks

GVD Syndicate/R Dooly

Down Around

9yo Gelding · 11-12

Sea Moon - Teoleena (Teofilo)

Jack Kennedy60%G Elliott60%
367141
7.0
Blinkers

Made second start for current yard a winning one in handicap hurdle at Ballinrobe (3¼m) last month. Unsuited by drop back in trip next time, before resuming ways at Perth (3m) 23 days ago. In good hands so he's one to note as he makes chasing debut.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par14/1020/11 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/11 · mark par10/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par31/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 88%14/10Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 55%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%10/07Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%31/08Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%7/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 2/4
10
7
8/1
Walkingmayotomilan silks

Alberta Capital Ltd

Walkingmayotomilan

5yo Mare · 11-5

Walk In The Park - Milan Dee (Milan)

Shane Markey1/3−7lbR O'Sullivan60%
2P0013
6.0
Tongue strap

Placed on 3 of 4 starts in points and left previous hurdling efforts behind when winning extended 2¾m maiden at Ballinrobe last month. Progressed again when third in mares handicap at the same course 19 days ago. One of 2 chasing debutants in the line-up for yard.

Class Advantage

25/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/0129/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/0710/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/0811/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 14 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 13%25/01Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 47%29/07Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%10/08Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%11/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.2%Ahead 4/4
8
Market Fav3
OR 120
11/4
Affinity Rock silks

Friends In Low Places Syndicate

Affinity Rock

6yo Mare · 11-5

Affinisea - Hill Rock (Beneficial)

Jordan GainfordC Collins60%
102234
5.0Going 8.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Maiden winner over hurdles who showed much improved form sent chasing when runner-up in mares maiden at Killarney (21f) in May. Good efforts from the front next 2 starts, including over 23f, before a below-par run at Ballinrobe 19 days ago. Can bounce back with tongue strap added.

Class Advantage

12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/0530/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par9/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a20/08 · C12 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par11/09 · C12 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%12/05Pos 14 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 14 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 32%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%9/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 60%20/08Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 63%11/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 1/4
7
9
16/1
Ready For Road silks

C J Cronin

Ready For Road

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Kapgarde - Episodique (Indian Danehill)

Keith Donoghue60%0/1G P Cromwell80%
4795P
2.0
Tongue strap

Some promise in maiden hurdles, before not seen to best effect kept to 2m for handicap debut at Fairyhouse in February. Pulled up at Down Royal (2½m) the following month but he's bred to be suited by longer trips. Off 6 months ahead of going chasing.

Class Advantage

2/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/1122/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/1129/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/113/02 · C11 · finish vs mark below3/02 · mark par3/02projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 77%2/11Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 74%22/11Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 65%29/11Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 64%3/02
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.9%Ahead 4/4
2
8
12/1
Bergamasquo silks

Pique Syndicate

Bergamasquo

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Karaktar - Sunny Wells (Falco)

Kieren Buckley60%G P Cromwell60%
22944F
5.0

Runner-up both completed starts in points and on hurdling debut at Gowran (2m) last November. Hasn't kicked on since, though, tried in cheekpieces/tongue strap when falling 3 out in handicap at Downpatrick (2¾m) in March, weakening at the time. Off 6 months ahead of chase bow.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/1115/12 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/124/02 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/025/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par5/03projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 94%8/11Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 9 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 58%15/12Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%4/02Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%5/03
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.5%Ahead 3/4
5
5
7/1
Mags Nelson silks

Rathmoy Syndicate

Mags Nelson

7yo Gelding · 11-12

Mount Nelson - Howareyabelle (Sir Percy)

Danny Gilligan60%1/3R O'Sullivan
513183
7.0Going 8.0

Improved form in handicap hurdles when winning at Tramore (2¾m) and Roscommon (3m) last season. Soon left behind a lesser effort when third at Roscommon on final outing of the campaign, but has been absent 12 months ahead of chasing debut (point winner).

Class Advantage

10/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par10/0530/05 · C10 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par10/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par5/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par23/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par29/09 · C11 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par29/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%10/05Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%10/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%23/08Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%29/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 3/4
1
6
8/1
Benner Wenner silks

Envirogreen Housing Services Ltd

Benner Wenner

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Choeur Du Nord - Keen Walk (Walk In The Park)

Mike O'Connor60%0/1H De Bromhead90%
825
4.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Showed more than on debut when runner-up in maiden hurdle at Wexford (3m) in July, shaping like a stayer. Disappointing when well beaten at Kilbeggan 6 weeks ago, but represents a much-respected yard as he quickly goes chasing with tongue strap fitted.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/053/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0721/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 3m 1f 182y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%25/05Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 90%3/07Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 43%21/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.4%Ahead 2/3