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18:20 · Thistledown

Race 4 - Claiming

5f 110y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
OR 61
9/5
Little Shance silks

Crumley Racing And Kosco, Matthew

Little Shance

4yo Gelding · 8-11

Shancelot - Moon Date (Malibu Moon)

Ricardo Feliciano60%1/3Jevon Crumley60%
227541
8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par9/0421/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par9/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength88%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%9/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%11/05Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%12/08Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.1%Ahead 1/4
7
3
OR 57
4/1
Mobil Mission silks

Irish Charm Thoroughbreds Llc

Mobil Mission

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Mobil - Sweet Tessa Marie (El Corredor)

Jason Simpson60%Gary Johnson
236185
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

11/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/11 · mark par11/1120/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par21/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par20/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/05 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par22/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%11/11Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%21/04Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%24/06Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%22/07
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 2/4
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 70
8/5
Spectacular D'oro silks

Blue Snow Racing Stables And Boots N Bikinis Llc

Spectacular D'oro

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Bolt D'oro - Agressive Elegance (Macho Uno)

Fernando Becerra Salazar60%0/2David Wolochuk60%
656332
7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

18/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/11 · mark par18/1117/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par2/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/07 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%18/11Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%2/07Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 60%20/08Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 90%8/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.6%Ahead 1/4
1
4
OR 64
6/1
Balki Bartokomous silks

Rey Juarez-mendoza

Balki Bartokomous

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Mitole - Touch Of Emma (Midas Touch)

Erik Barbaran60%0/1Rey Mendoza
123534
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/0520/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par8/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%27/05Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%8/07Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%8/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 70%8/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 2-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.8%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 54
20/1
Take Dictation silks

Gigi Chiandussi

Take Dictation

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Tale Of Verve - Follow Bourbon (Not Bourbon)

Brandon Tapara60%1/6Israel Flores
361429
5.0

Class Advantage

27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par27/0529/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par9/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par8/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%27/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%9/07Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%19/08Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 20%8/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.8%Ahead 4/4
5
6
OR 59
15/1
Ol' Nelson silks

Joel Mascher

Ol' Nelson

4yo Gelding · 8-7

Cinco Charlie - Potential Diva (Suave)

Jefferson Skerrett60%−5lbRichard Genovese
564647
3.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/0620/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/07 · mark par8/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%3/06Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%8/07Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 40%19/08Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%8/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.0%Ahead 3/4
2
7
OR 49
20/1
Seeking Freedom silks

R And P Racing Stables Llc

Seeking Freedom

5yo Gelding · 8-7

Da Big Hoss - Seeking A Sunrise (Seeking A Home)

David Haldar0/8Rodney Faulkner
432350
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/0520/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par8/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par19/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 40%27/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%8/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%19/08Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%8/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.5%Ahead 2/4