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19:49 · Finger Lakes

Race 7 - Allowance

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 81
5/2
Beach Invasion silks

Kevin Stedman

Beach Invasion

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Omaha Beach - Goodnight Moon (Malibu Moon)

Keiber Coa60%4/5M Ferraro60%
211121
9.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par8/0327/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength17%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%8/03Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%19/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%16/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.4%Ahead 3/4
1
5
OR 84
7/2
Stop The Spread silks

Go-to-toga Racing Llc

Stop The Spread

7yo Gelding · 8-10

Daaher - Powhatan Princess (Indian Charlie)

Oscar Gomez60%0/2Rachel Sells
506223
6.0Class ↓1

Class Advantage

13/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par13/126/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%13/12Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%24/06Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%28/07Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.9%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 82
6/1
Big Rich silks

Timothy Murphy

Big Rich

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Bolt D'oro - Generosity (Unbridled's Song)

Emanuel Diego De60%0/7Timothy Murphy60%
224725
5.0

Class Advantage

1/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par1/0715/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par28/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par12/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 80%1/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 50%28/07Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%7/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 20%16/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.9%Ahead 1/4
5
2
OR 66
15/1
Maturation silks

Luis Gutierrez

Maturation

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Mckinzie - American Lynx (Harlan's Holiday)

Steven Fret60%Luis Gutierrez60%
511421
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

10/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par10/0614/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par17/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par15/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲3
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 33%10/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%31/08Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%15/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.6%Ahead 2/4
7
3
OR 76
12/1
Eric From Miami silks

Catapano, Frank And Primpas, Nicholas

Eric From Miami

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Alternation - Bernadine (Bernardini)

Michael Jr Davila60%2/5Timothy Murphy60%
352211
8.0

Class Advantage

30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par30/0615/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par27/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par8/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%30/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%27/07Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%26/08Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.3%Ahead 3/4
6
Market Fav7
OR 83
2/1
Senegal silks

The Elkstone Group Llc (stuart Grant)

Senegal

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Solomini - Holly's Star (Dublin)

Reylu Gutierrez60%Thomas Morley
152393
5.0

Class Advantage

20/02 · C7 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par20/028/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/03 · mark par17/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par10/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par28/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par16/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%20/02Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%17/04Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%28/06Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%16/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.1%Ahead 2/4
3
6
OR 73
10/1
Janssen silks

Antonio Carrasquel

Janssen

5yo Horse · 8-10

Accelerate - Fabuleux (Bodemeister)

Olaf Hernandez60%Julie Pierson
437536
4.0Going 10.0

Class Advantage

10/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par10/0629/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par16/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%10/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%15/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%19/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%16/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 2/4