18:30 · Kempton

ebfstallions.com Conditions Stakes (GBB Race)

6fStandardClass 23YO plusPOLYTRACK6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 111
9/4
Kind Of Blue silks

Wathnan Racing

5yo Horse · 9-5

Blue Point - Blues Sister (Compton Place)

James Doyle80%1/5J R Fanshawe60%
320205
5.0

Smart sort who landed the Champions Sprint at Ascot (soft) in 2024. Showed he's still really smart on his day when second in York Group 2 on reappearance in May. Has come up short in Group 1 company on his 2 outings since but a potential class act with his sights lowered.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/086/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par18/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par13/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par20/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par5/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 82%9/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 94%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 11 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 44%18/10Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 41%20/06Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%5/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.2%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav3
OR 112
7/4
Wise Approach silks

Godolphin

3yo Colt · 9-3

Mehmas - Sagely (Frozen Power)

W Buick70%3/9C Appleby90%
154074
4.0
Cheek pieces

Won 3 times in 2025, including Group 1 Middle Park. Made a disappointing start to current season but better signs last twice, including 2½ lengths fourth of 8 to More Thunder in Group 2 Park Stakes at Doncaster (7f) in first-time cheekpieces (retained) 18 days ago. Drop back in trip should suit.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par27/091/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par16/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par19/06 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par9/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par12/09 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%27/09Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 22 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 22 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 40%9/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.5%Ahead 2/4
1
Value2
OR 102
25/1
Heathcliff silks

Jan & Peter Hopper & Michelle Morris

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Iffraaj - Isola Verde (Oasis Dream)

Daniel Muscutt70%4/11J R Fanshawe60%
124704
5.0Going 8.0

Multiple all-weather scorer who added to his tally at Lingfield (7f) in February before a good second at listed level next time. Creditable 4¼ lengths fourth of 11 to Paborus in Group 3 Chipchase at Newcastle (6f) when last seen in June but has to give weight to some strong opposition here.

Class Advantage

14/02 · C2 · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par14/027/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/03 · mark par3/04 · C2 · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par9/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par27/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%14/02Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 77%3/04Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 21 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 21 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 23%20/06Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%27/06
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +52.5%Ahead 4/4
3
5
OR 106
6/1
Mitbaahy silks

Mrs Fitri Hay

7yo Gelding · 9-5

Profitable - Wrood (Invasor)

Tom Marquand70%C Hills60%
205239
4.0
Tongue strap

Group 2 winner in his prime and placed efforts in a Newbury Group 3 and the Stewards' Cup at Goodwood this summer show he's still smart on his day. Well held in a soft-ground Group 3 in France last time but should have a say here.

Class Advantage

2/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/02 · mark par2/0228/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par18/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par1/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par30/08 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%2/02Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 85%20/06Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 92%1/08Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 11%30/08
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.9%Ahead 3/4
5
4
OR 107
7/1
Spy Chief silks

Godolphin

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Kingman - Shirocco Star (Shirocco)

R Havlin60%1/6J & T Gosden80%
638206
4.0
Hood

Talented but quirky. Resumed with very good second in Salisbury 6f listed event, despite looking awkward under pressure. Looked a hard ride again (pulled hard) when below par in another listed event at Newbury 12 days ago. Has a hood refitted for the first time since his debut.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/0819/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par18/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par23/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par20/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par18/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 44%16/08Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 60%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 61%18/10Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 25 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 25 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 8%20/06Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 6 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 29%18/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.6%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 105
6/1
Montassib silks

The Montassib Partnership

8yo Gelding · 9-5

Exceed And Excel - Felwah (Aqlaam)

Cieren Fallon70%5/14W J Haggas
537545
4.0Going 7.0

2024 Haydock Sprint Cup winner but hasn't come close to scaling the same heights in a light career since. Off since finishing a respectable 4¼ lengths fifth of 10 to Comanche Brave in Group 2 Greenlands at the Curragh in May. 2-2 on all-weather (both tapeta at Newcastle).

Class Advantage

19/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/10 · mark par19/1020/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/09 · mark par18/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par8/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par28/03 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par23/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 79%19/10Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%18/10Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 73%28/03Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 56%23/05
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.3%Ahead 1/4