15:15 · Catterick

Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Div 2)

7f 6yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Top Pick1
OR 72
9/2
Indefensible silks

Ownaracehorse, West & McCracken

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Inns Of Court - Vexatious (Shamardal)

Harry Russell2/13Ollie Pears60%
331314
7.0Going 10.0

Resumed winning ways at Southwell earlier this month and shaped as if still in good form there (1m) 13 days ago, weakening last ½f having raced freely. Will be suited by this return to 7f.

Class Advantage

8/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par8/0718/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par19/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par14/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par3/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par17/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%8/07Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 33%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%3/09Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%17/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav2
OR 74
5/2
Mo Anam Chara silks

Mr M Gilgeous, Mr C Seeney & Partner

3yo Filly · 9-10

Circus Maximus - Gwerrann (Dansili)

Jake Dickson60%1/1−5lbG A Harker60%
420121
8.0Going 8.0

Low-mileage 3-y-o who resumed winning ways on first outing since leaving Mark Fahey returned to a handicap in 10-runner event at Thirsk (7f) 16 days ago. Did it cosily and looks capable of following up from a 7 lb higher mark.

Class Advantage

12/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/113/12 · C7 · finish vs mark above3/12 · mark par19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par7/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲2
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 77%12/11Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 90%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 25%19/04Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%7/08Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%14/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 3/4
4
Value3
OR 70
13/2
Black Storm silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd And Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Ten Sovereigns - Active Approach (New Approach)

O J Orr60%1/1K Scott60%
253315
7.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

Free-going sort who was suited by a well-run race when scoring over C&D in August. Wasn't in anything like the same form at Musselburgh since, however.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0619/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 88%6/06Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 78%9/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%17/08Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 56%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.1%Ahead 2/4
8
4
OR 63
7/1
Vince Le Prince silks

Reality Partnerships V

6yo Gelding · 9-2

Iffraaj - Crecy (Refuse To Bend)

D Allan60%2/28T D Easterby80%
203344
6.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Without a win since 2024 but hasn't been shaping up too badly lately, doing well to finish fourth at Ayr (7f) on most recent outing having gone off too hard. Must enter calculations.

Class Advantage

22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par22/078/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par17/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%22/07Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 75%17/08Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 78%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%12/09Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 77%17/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.2%Ahead 1/4
7
7
OR 66
12/1
Educating Rita silks

Redhotgardogs And P Kirby

4yo Filly · 9-5

Belardo - Excel And Succeed (Exceed And Excel)

Cam Hardie70%0/4P A Kirby
300305
3.0Class ↓4Going 8.0

Without a win since July 2024 but ran well on just second start for Phil Kirby when third of 21 at York (6f, good) in June. Raced in the unfavoured group and not disgraced in another big-field event at Ripon next time but ran below form there latest.

Class Advantage

13/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par13/1025/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/10 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par1/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%13/10Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 28%11/07Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 42%15/08Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 43%1/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.2%Ahead 3/4
9
8
OR 62
8/1
Fools Rush In silks

Mr S Thompson And Mrs R Carr

8yo Gelding · 9-1

Mehmas - Faddwa (Arcano)

L Morris70%0/4Mrs R Carr70%
108802
3.0Class ↓3
Tongue strapVisor

Free-going sort who returned to the form of his wins at the start of the year when second of 9 in 7f handicap at Southwell (7f, 20/1) in April. Off since ahead of this first turf start for 2 years.

Class Advantage

5/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/02 · mark par5/0220/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par28/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par13/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par27/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/03 · mark par23/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/04projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%5/02Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%28/02Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 0%27/03Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 88%23/04
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.4%Ahead 2/4
3
5
OR 73
20/1
Zarvali silks

Swales & Fell

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Dandy Man - Zunera (Invincible Spirit)

D NolanRoger Fell60%
370749
4.0
Cheek pieces

Got off the mark on yard debut over C&D on return in May. More miss than hit since, though can have his latest run at Redcar easily overlooked having raced on the unfavoured stand-side rail.

Class Advantage

16/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par16/0610/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par14/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par27/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%16/06Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 10%7/08Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%27/08Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%15/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
1
6
OR 74
14/1
Imperial Guard silks

Csk Services Limited

5yo Gelding · 9-13

Night Of Thunder - Ancestral (Bated Breath)

Connor Beasley60%2/8M Dods60%
511107
5.0Class ↓3

Down in the weights and completed a quick-fire Ayr hat-trick (7.2f) in July. However, found life tougher in a deeper race at Doncaster and never figured at Thirsk latest. Bounce back required.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/0713/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%1/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 100%20/07Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 18%15/08Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%5/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.9%Ahead 2/4
6
9
OR 67
11/2
Yaajooz silks

Farming Renewable Energy Ltd & Partner

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Ten Sovereigns - My Dorris (Uncle Mo)

Joanna Mason0/3M & D Easterby
789036
3.0Going 8.0

Fourteen runs since recording sole win in 2024. Took a step back in the right direction when third of 8 in handicap at Newcastle (7f) earlier in the month and not seen to best effect making his challenge widest of all at Wolverhampton since. Merits consideration.

Class Advantage

17/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/10 · mark par17/1023/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par18/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f 6y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/5 | Expected: 81%Pos 7 · SP 18/5 | Actual: 45%17/10Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 11%19/05Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%5/09Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 55%18/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.3%Ahead 1/4