IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. musselburgh
  3. race-6

15:33 · Musselburgh

Global Home Of Outdoor Advertising Nursery

5f 1yGoing TBCClass 62YO onlyTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 48
2/1
Stay On Tab silks

Mr Bruce Jones & I Jardine

Stay On Tab

2yo Colt · 8-12

Harry Angel - Exceedingly Sonic (Exceed And Excel)

A Mullen70%1/5I Jardine60%
367651
6.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Well backed and much improved faced with softer going when opening account in 6f Hamilton selling nursery on Monday, making all. Could be hard to catch under a penalty.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a29/0421/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par28/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength94%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%29/04Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 45%30/05Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%2/09Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%28/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.0%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 64
9/2
Calef silks

Akela Thoroughbreds Limited

Calef

2yo Filly · 9-8

Blue Point - Ellthea (Kodiac)

Jason Hart60%D O'Meara70%
44U643
5.0Class ↓4
Visor

Has had plenty of racing, making the frame again on all-weather with a clearer run at Wolverhampton (5f) last week. Could find a race before the season is out.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/0611/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par24/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par21/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%22/06Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%26/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 70%7/09Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 75%21/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.9%Ahead 1/4
3
3
OR 58
8/1
Lairy Mary silks

Mr Craig Wilson & Partner

Lairy Mary

2yo Filly · 9-2

Tasleet - Fantalope (Lope De Vega)

D Fentiman60%1/9T D Easterby
164624
6.0

Won 5f claimer at Beverley in May and ran well from a good draw in nursery there last month. Pulled too hard over 6f at Redcar last week and in the mix if settling better here.

Class Advantage

27/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a27/054/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par23/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/09 · mark par23/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%27/05Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%8/07Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 55%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%13/08Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%23/09
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.6%Ahead 4/4
5
5
OR 46
4/1
Yorkshire Dream silks

Blue Lion Racing Ix

Yorkshire Dream

2yo Gelding · 8-4

Space Traveller - Conjuring (Showcasing)

William Pyle70%B Haslam60%
57093
4.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Backed at long odds and showed more than previously fitted with first-time cheekpieces when third in 6f Newcastle nursery 4 weeks ago. That form isn't bad for the grade and he'll surely be thereabouts if building on that.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/059/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%25/05Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%9/06Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%13/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%2/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.6%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 65
4/1
Tricky Jenny silks

Mr J Owen

Tricky Jenny

2yo Filly · 9-9

Ardad - Trick Shot Jenny (Acclamation)

C Lee70%James Owen
566246
5.0

Pipped at the post in a 5f Bath maiden (5f) in July but hasn't built on that in 2 runs since and could be going the wrong way. Makes her handicap debut now.

Class Advantage

4/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/0417/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par31/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par23/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength83%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 56%4/04Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 44%4/06Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%31/07Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%23/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.9%Ahead 1/4
7
6
OR 45
20/1
Savoy Blue silks

Rp Bloodstock Ltd

Savoy Blue

2yo Filly · 8-3

Space Blues - Savoy Showgirl (Kyllachy)

Lauren Young0/3−5lbJ S Goldie
6754
4.0

Uncomfortable with the pace and soon behind on handicap debut over C&D 5 weeks ago. Should have something to offer when stepped up to 7f and further, the yard tending to improve them with age.

Class Advantage

20/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/0625/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0617/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0725/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%20/06Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%25/06Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%25/08
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 1/4
6
7
OR 46
14/1
North Coates silks

Mrs C E Mason Racing

North Coates

2yo Gelding · 8-4

Belardo - Harvest Day (Harbour Watch)

J P Sullivan60%0/1M & D Easterby
5675
3.0

Little impact so far, a lot shorter in the betting when well held behind Stay On Tab at Hamilton on Monday.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0826/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0811/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/0928/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par28/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 1y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%16/08Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%26/08Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 25%11/09Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%28/09
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.9%Ahead 2/4