14:30 · Sligo

Eddie McAllister Memorial Novice Handicap Chase

2m 1f 153yGoing TBC4YO plusTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 106
5/2
Miners Bridge silks

CKC Syndicate

9yo Gelding · 11-0

Mahler - Derrylea Girl (Presenting)

Phillip Enright60%2/8S Curling
257241
6.0Going 8.0

With his reappearance over hurdles behind him, took advantage of his lower chase mark when scoring at Killarney (21f) 6 weeks ago (several in behind have run well since). Travelled strongly last time and he's a major player back down in trip.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/084/10 · C11 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par31/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par1/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par3/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par20/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 90%15/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 54%31/05Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 82%3/08Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%20/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.7%Ahead 3/4
5
2
OR 100
3/1
Phoenix Arizona silks

Harbour Bar Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 10-8

Soldier Of Fortune - Broken Sunrise (Beneficial)

Thomas O'Connor60%1/4−7lbJohn Cullen
043281
7.0Class ↓7

Making only second chase start (first for current yard), opened account in handicap at Ballinrobe 19 days ago. Can give another good account now that he's up and running.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par30/059/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/06 · mark par12/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par6/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par19/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par11/09 · C9 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 38%30/05Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 82%12/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 53%19/08Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%11/09
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.4%Ahead 3/4
1
Market Fav3
OR 118
9/4
Soldante silks

P McCormack & David P McCormack & Sarah Glynn

8yo Gelding · 11-12

Soldier Of Fortune - Dantes Firth (Flemensfirth)

Kevin Healy60%2/2−7lbCiaran Murphy
331351
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Has taken well to chasing this year, winning 2m handicap at Roscommon in June and also forging clear for success in 13-runner contest at Kilbeggan (2½m) early this month. Respected back down in trip.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/047/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par8/06 · C11 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par27/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par2/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par4/09 · C11 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%19/04Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%8/06Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 76%2/08Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.6%Ahead 4/4
3
4
OR 110
6/1
Mic Drop silks

Peter Tarrant

7yo Gelding · 11-4

Soldier Of Fortune - Is Herself About (Flemensfirth)

Sean Flanagan60%1/9D M O'Brien
065113
6.0

Gained a first chase success in handicap at Limerick (2¼m) in May and followed up at Wexford (2m) the following month. Continued in good heart when third at Killarney (17f) in July and he's not ruled out after a break.

Class Advantage

2/12 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a2/125/02 · C10 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par14/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par21/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par30/06 · C10 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par17/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 21%2/12Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%14/04Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%30/06Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 75%17/07
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 112
13/2
Stuntman Steve silks

MMW Racing Syndicate/Declan Mac Mahon

7yo Gelding · 11-6

Getaway - Mrs Bob (Milan)

Keith Donoghue60%1/7G P Cromwell80%
55PU53
3.0Class ↓7
Blinkers

Fitted with blinkers, returned to form when fifth in 16-runner handicap hurdle at Bellewstown in July and, from his lower mark returned to chasing, backed that up when third of 6 at Downpatrick a month ago. Potentially well treated in this discipline.

Class Advantage

5/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/023/03 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a21/03 · C11 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par17/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par4/07 · C12 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par31/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 11%5/02Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%21/03Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 73%4/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%31/08
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.0%Ahead 3/4
8
6
OR 86
25/1
Zolpharine silks

John Patrick Ryan

8yo Gelding · 10-0

Yeats - Flite (Flemensfirth)

Harry Sexton0/5−7lbJ P Ryan
511400
3.0Class ↓7
Tongue strap

Finally off the mark over fences in handicap at Limerick (23f) in May and followed up over hurdles at Tramore. However, has run poorly returned to chasing last 3 starts. Tongue strap refitted back down markedly in trip.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/0421/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par8/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par21/08 · C9 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par11/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 56%19/04Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 13 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 8%21/08Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%11/09
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.4%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 96
20/1
Midnight Eagle silks

Mrs Rhona McNamara

6yo Mare · 10-4

Wings Of Eagles - Midnight Choir (Luso)

Daniel KingA McNamara
023190
4.0

Has improved over hurdles for current yard this season, getting back to winning ways in 2½m handicap at this venue last month. Has had excuses both starts since, up in grade when mid-field at Listowel (2¼m) 10 days ago. Didn't offer much in 2 previous chase starts, though.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below14/06 · mark par14/0616/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par3/08 · C10 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par19/08 · C10 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par4/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par20/09 · C10 · finish vs mark below20/09 · mark par20/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 18%14/06Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 2 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 93%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%3/08Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 9 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%4/09Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 47%20/09
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.8%Ahead 3/4
7
8
OR 94
20/1
Jumble Light silks

C B Long

7yo Gelding · 10-2

Diamond Green - Rica De Thaix (Shaanmer)

Alan King60%−7lbM M McNiff
85744P
3.0

Got back on track over hurdles when making the frame in handicap at Punchestown (2m) in January. Failed to stay when pulled up at Down Royal (2½m) in March, but has plenty to find as he makes chasing debut after 6 months off.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a3/0624/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par12/01 · C10 · finish vs mark below12/01 · mark par12/01projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 1f 153y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 4 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 57%3/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 73%10/06Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 79%14/12Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%12/01
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +49.5%Ahead 3/4