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4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67
Bellewstown · Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden · 7f 205y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2025-06-19 | Wetherby | 5 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-05-30 | Haydock | 4 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2024-10-25 | Doncaster | 5 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2024 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 30/05/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 19/06/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 45% | -0.44 |
| 10/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |