7

Storzando

3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 66

Bellewstown · Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden · 7f 205y

#8

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Ran to a decent level when third at Down Royal in July but hasn't come close to reproducing it in 4 subsequent outings.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 7f Goo 1348/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m2f140y Goo 13417/07C8C8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1341/08C8BHA77 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 77 · 1m2f Goo 130 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 77 par16/0877OR 77C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 72 · 1m20y Goo 134 · below its mark02/09/2026 · OR 72 par2/09C8OR 72C8 @ Gowran Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 68 · 1m1f100y Yie 134 · below its mark19/09/2026 · OR 68 par19/09C8OR 68projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Gowran Park?4th6th−2
2026-09-02Navan?8th10th−2
2026-08-16CurraghBHA7711th12th−1
2026-08-01Galway?7th9th−2
2026-07-17Down Royal?3rd5th−2
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?6th8th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0717/071/0816/082/0919/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20266th66/10%64%+0.64
17/07/20263rd80/10%67%+0.67
01/08/20267th9/153%45%-0.07
16/08/202611th50/10%9%+0.09
02/09/20268th100/10%42%+0.42
19/09/20264th33/10%67%+0.67