1
Bay Of Supremacy
3yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 76
Bellewstown · Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap · 0m 5f 3y
#3
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | BHA82 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | BHA75 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | BHA72 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-08 | Navan | BHA73 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-18 | Naas | BHA67 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Curragh | ? | 18th | 18th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength75%
Delivery trend -2.8% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/04/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 36% | -0.27 |
| 23/05/2025 | 11th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 09/08/2025 | 18th | 66/1 | 0% | 37% | +0.37 |
| 18/09/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 08/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 11/04/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |