9
The Right One
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 62
Bellewstown · Gannon City Recovery & Recycling Handicap · 0m 5f 3y
#7
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: BHA64
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | BHA66 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Navan | BHA67 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA64 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Dundalk | BHA69 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-09-05 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Bellewstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -5.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2025 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 25/07/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 14/08/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 85% | +0.48 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 92% | +0.06 |
| 05/09/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 73% | -0.11 |
| 10/12/2025 | 14th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 11/07/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 14/08/2026 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 18% | -0.19 |