8
Preparations
5yo Mare · 9-6 · OR 62
Bellewstown · Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | BHA63 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | BHA56 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | Ballinrobe | BHA59 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cork | BHA113 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-23 | Dundalk | BHA62 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Dundalk | BHA65 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 2-11 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 85% | +0.08 |
| 01/08/2025 | 10th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |
| 30/08/2025 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |
| 12/12/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 54% | +0.12 |
| 23/01/2026 | 10th | 9/2 | 76% | 18% | -0.58 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 76% | +0.29 |