7

Scorcher's Son

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 64

Bellewstown · Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 110y

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

450,000 gns Too Darn Hot gelding from excellent family. Has made a solid enough start in maiden company and looks to have been allotted a potentially lenient opening mark. Cheekpieces on 1st time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 20/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m Goo 14020/08C8C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f10y Gd 1405/09C8C8 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f150y Std 14018/09C8projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18Dundalk?6th6th0
2026-09-05Navan?6th6th0
2026-08-20Leopardstown?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/085/0918/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +15.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/08/20267th4/179%50%-0.29
05/09/20266th12/137%75%+0.38
18/09/20266th10/147%50%+0.03