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15

Albatala

7yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 60

Bellewstown · Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 110y

#16

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Downpatrick 16/06/2024 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m2f185y Gd 15916/06C8BHA54 @ Ballinrobe 22/07/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m4f178y Sft 131 · beat its mark22/07/2024 · OR 54 parBHA93 @ Fairyhouse 07/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 93 · 2m Goo 161 · below its mark07/10/2024 · OR 93 par7/1093OR 93BHA93 @ Down Royal 26/12/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR 93 · 2m1f53y Goo 159 · below its mark26/12/2024 · OR 93 parBHA97 @ Down Royal 21/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 97 · 2m1f33y Goo 157 · below its mark21/01/2025 · OR 97 par21/0197OR 97BHA99 @ Kilbeggan 24/04/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 99 · 2m2f50y Goo 167 · below its mark24/04/2025 · OR 99 parBHA45 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 45 · 1m1f190y Goo 127 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 45 par5/0645OR 45BHA45 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 45 · 1m2f96y Sft 127 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 45 parBHA97 @ Sligo 12/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 97 · 2m1f90y Gd 145 · below its mark12/07/2026 · OR 97 par12/0797OR 97projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-12SligoBHA972nd2nd0
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA451st1st0
2026-06-05FairyhouseBHA454th4th0
2025-04-24KilbegganBHA9911th11th0
2025-02-02Musselburgh40
2025-01-21Down RoyalBHA972nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0626/125/0612/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 2478% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength92%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 24. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/06/20246th14/126%50%+0.24
22/07/20249th5/287%33%-0.54
07/10/20245th25/10%64%+0.64
26/12/20242nd10/147%93%+0.45
21/01/20252nd5/287%88%+0.01
24/04/202511th22/10%29%+0.29
05/06/20264th28/10%79%+0.79
20/06/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
12/07/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23