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2

Coulstys Way

4yo Filly · 10-2 · OR 72

Bellewstown · Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Roscommon 01/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 62 · 1m2f63y Yie 128 · beat its mark01/07/2025 · OR 62 par1/0762OR 62BHA64 @ Killarney 16/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 64 · 1m6f80y Sft 124 · below its mark16/07/2025 · OR 64 parBHA64 @ Galway 01/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 64 · 1m6f14y Yie 124 · beat its mark01/08/2025 · OR 64 par1/0864OR 64BHA66 @ Listowel 22/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 66 · 1m3f15y Hvy 136 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 66 parC8 @ Navan 16/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 2m Hvy 14716/11C8BHA66 @ Fairyhouse 12/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 66 · 1m6f40y Goo 126 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 66 parBHA65 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 65 · 1m6f80y Gd 135 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 65 par15/0765OR 65BHA65 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR 65 · 1m4f48y Goo 135 · below its mark18/08/2026 · OR 65 parBHA62 @ Galway 08/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 62 · 1m4f Sft 132 · beat its mark08/09/2026 · OR 62 par8/0962OR 62projClass-projected finish: 8th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08GalwayBHA621st1st0
2026-08-18RoscommonBHA659th9th0
2026-07-31GalwayBHA650
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA653rd3rd0
2026-06-12FairyhouseBHA6611th11th0
2025-11-16Navan?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0722/0915/078/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2496% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength84%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20252nd5/174%89%+0.15
16/07/20255th3/184%56%-0.29
01/08/20252nd18/15%93%+0.88
22/09/20258th5/174%42%-0.32
16/11/20258th66/10%36%+0.36
12/06/202611th28/10%41%+0.41
15/07/20263rd10/147%80%+0.33
18/08/20269th7/282%47%-0.35
08/09/20261st15/261%100%+0.39