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24

Deuteronomy

7yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 50

Bellewstown · Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 110y

#23

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#23

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.6)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA55 @ Ballinrobe 08/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 55 · 1m1f133y Goo 137 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 55 par8/0555OR 55BHA53 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR 53 · 1m2f90y Sft 135 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 53 parBHA60 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 60 · 1m1f190y Goo 142 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 60 par5/0660OR 60BHA59 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 59 · 1m1f GF 141 · beat its mark18/06/2026 · OR 59 parBHA59 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 59 · 1m2f40y Goo 141 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 59 par11/0759OR 59BHA59 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 59 · 1m3f103y Gd 141 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 59 parBHA57 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m1f110y Goo 139 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 57 par25/0757OR 57BHA53 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 21 · OR 53 · 1m2f10y Gd 137 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 53 parBHA51 @ Gowran Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 51 · 1m1f100y Yie 121 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 51 par19/0951OR 51projClass-projected finish: 15th of 24
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Gowran ParkBHA516th6th0
2026-09-05NavanBHA539th9th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA579th9th0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA598th8th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA595th5th0
2026-06-18LeopardstownBHA595th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0518/0625/0719/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish21st of 2413% of fieldRange 6-19 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 21st of 24.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/05/20268th33/10%46%+0.46
19/05/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
05/06/202611th22/10%29%+0.29
18/06/20265th22/10%69%+0.69
11/07/20265th20/10%64%+0.64
15/07/20268th40/10%50%+0.50
25/07/20269th20/10%33%+0.33
05/09/20269th33/10%60%+0.60
19/09/20266th50/10%62%+0.62