23
Sneddy Eddie
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 53
Bellewstown · Paddy Woods Memorial Apprentice Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 4f 110y
#18
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 8.2)
Highest class: BHA53
Recent avg: C8.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | BHA90 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Downpatrick | BHA85 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Kilbeggan | BHA87 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Downpatrick | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Wexford | BHA88 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Down Royal | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 2452% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength83%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 24.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/11/2025 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 29/11/2025 | 21st | 200/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/12/2025 | 26th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/05/2026 | 13th | 250/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 69% | +0.53 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 24/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |
| 09/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 28/08/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |