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10

Fairylike

3yo Filly · 9-3

Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Lord Kanaloa filly went backwards from a debut fourth in 1¼m Cork maiden when fifteenth of 21 in maiden at Navan (1¼m, good) 4 weeks agon. Could still do better for top yard stepped up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f90y Goo 12914/08C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 15th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?15th15th0
2026-08-14Cork?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -47.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/08/20264th6/168%70%+0.02
02/09/202615th9/276%30%-0.46