Honouramongthieves
3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 70
Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Roscommon | BHA73 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-11 | Newbury | 4 | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | BHA73 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-04-24 | Cork | BHA75 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-03-30 | Navan | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-06 | Killarney | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/07/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 64% | +0.12 |
| 03/08/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 38% | +0.32 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 11/06/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 30/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |