1
Joe Cool
4yo Gelding · 10-1 · OR 72
Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Bellewstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -22.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 26/04/2025 | 14th | 50/1 | 0% | 32% | +0.32 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 66/1 | 0% | 95% | +0.95 |
| 11/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 26/05/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 63% | -0.23 |
| 01/09/2026 | 10th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 10/09/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |