IvyArcIvyArc
11

Julie's Moon

3yo Filly · 9-3

Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off 33/1 and given a considerate introduction when sixth of 11 in juvenile hurdle at Listowel (2m, good) 10 days ago. This Sea Moon filly makes her Flat debut now and the market can guide.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Listowel 20/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 2m Goo 14520/09C?
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-20Listowel?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength25%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/09/20266th33/10%50%+0.50