8

Quick Return

3yo Gelding · 9-8

Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well held in a pair of maidens at Leopardstown (13f) and Listowel (1m) this summer. Goes markedly back up in trip.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 11.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 18/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f GF 13418/06C8C8 @ Listowel 21/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m Yie 13421/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21Listowel?13th13th0
2026-06-18Leopardstown?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0621/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength4%

Delivery trend -3.4% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/06/20269th50/10%11%+0.11
21/09/202613th50/10%8%+0.08