17
Cosmetic
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 79
Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Dundalk | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 2095% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength74%
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 33% | -0.04 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 19/05/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 01/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 91% | +0.12 |
| 31/07/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 31/08/2026 | 11th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |