Ebony King
5yo Gelding · 10-1
Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y
#2
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 0 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-25 | Listowel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Killarney | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Fairyhouse | 1 | 2nd | -6th | +7 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Kilbeggan | ? | +1 | ||
| 2025-08-02 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 02/08/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 13/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 89% | -0.04 |
| 05/04/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 12/05/2026 | 6th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 25/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |