6
Shemiyka
4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 71
Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Roscommon | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-31 | Galway | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Navan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 2084% of fieldRange 1-20 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength61%
Delivery trend +0.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 20.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 20/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 31/07/2026 | 3rd | 100/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 77% | -0.07 |
| 31/08/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |