8
Sierra's Dream
4yo Filly · 9-10
Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y
#12
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼8
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: +8.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Navan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Wexford | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 2047% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength33%
Delivery trend -8.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 20. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 19/09/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |