4

Solness

8yo Gelding · 10-1

Bellewstown · SIS Maiden · 1m 4f 110y

#10

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼5
Strength92%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 8 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: +5.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Cheltenham 12/03/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 162 · 1m7f199y GS 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/03/2025 · OR 162 par12/031OR 1621 @ Punchestown 29/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 161 · 2m98y Goo 166 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/04/2025 · OR 161 par1 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 161 · 2m1f Yie 166 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/12/2025 · OR 161 par27/121OR 1611 @ Leopardstown 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 166 · 2m1f Sft 166 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/02/2026 · OR 166 par1 @ Aintree 10/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 166 · 2m3f200y Goo 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/04/2026 · OR 166 par10/041OR 1661 @ Sandown 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 165 · 1m7f99y Goo 164 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 165 parC8 @ Curragh 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m4f GF 14519/07C81 @ Galway 30/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 20 · OR 153 · 2m11y Gd 166 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 153 parC8 @ Tramore 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m4f Goo 14415/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Tramore?3rd3rd0
2026-07-30Galway113th5th+7
2026-07-19Curragh?4th4th0
2026-04-25Sandown13rd-6th+8
2026-04-10Aintree12nd-7th+8
2026-02-01Leopardstown15th-4th+8

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/031/0219/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 2058% of fieldRange 6-20 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength37%

Delivery trend -6.3% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 20. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/03/20254th12/137%57%+0.20
29/04/20253rd11/142%60%+0.18
27/12/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
01/02/20265th5/174%20%-0.54
10/04/20262nd8/158%83%+0.25
25/04/20263rd5/493%60%-0.33
19/07/20264th7/282%40%-0.42
30/07/202613th10/147%37%-0.11
15/08/20263rd6/594%78%-0.16