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4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67

Bellewstown · Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden · 0m 7f 205y

Rank

Odds

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 4

Recent avg: C5.5

Today:

Class gap: +1.0

Higher-class runs: 3

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-10	Laytown	?	6th	8th	−2	2.2
2025-06-19	Wetherby	5	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2025-05-30	Haydock	4	5th	2nd	+3	8.0
2024-10-25	Doncaster	5	4th	2nd	+2	7.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▲

Strength56%

Delivery trend +2.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
25/10/2024	4th	9/1	53%	80%	+0.27
30/05/2025	5th	5/1	74%	33%	-0.40
19/06/2025	7th	2/1	89%	45%	-0.44
10/09/2026	6th	25/1	0%	38%	+0.38