11
Fay Og
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Bellewstown · Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden · 0m 7f 205y
#12
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 13.2 /10 (raw 12.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Down Royal | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | ? | 18th | 20th | −2 |
| 2026-03-30 | Navan | ? | 15th | 17th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1423% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength36%
Delivery trend +9.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 15th | 125/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 18th | 250/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/08/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |