9
Storzando
3yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 66
Bellewstown · Gilna's Of Laytown Optional Claiming Maiden · 0m 7f 205y
#11
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Gowran Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | ? | 8th | 10th | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | BHA77 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Galway | ? | 7th | 9th | −2 |
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-07-08 | Fairyhouse | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 80/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 01/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 45% | -0.07 |
| 16/08/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 02/09/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |