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7

Are You In Or Out

5yo Mare · 9-11 · OR 53

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 7f 205y

#11

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Enhanced her good record fresh when scoring at Fairyhouse in May but has lost her form since. Back up in trip and reunited with Chris Hayes, she could be worth a second glance from a much-reduced mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA63 @ Fairyhouse 22/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 63 · 6f Yie 134 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 63 par22/0963OR 63BHA62 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 62 · 6f Sft 132 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 62 parBHA61 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 26 · OR 61 · 7f Yie 131 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 61 par16/1061OR 61BHA60 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 60 · 6f25y Gd 142 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA64 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 64 · 7f35y Sft 134 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 64 par11/0664OR 64BHA64 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 137 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 64 parBHA63 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 63 · 5f180y Goo 133 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 63 par11/0763OR 63BHA61 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 21st of 27 · OR 61 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 61 parBHA56 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 56 par21/0956OR 56projClass-projected finish: 15th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21FairyhouseBHA5611th11th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA6121th21th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA638th8th0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA6411th11th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA647th7th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA601st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0928/0511/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 5-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength41%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/202512th7/282%35%-0.46
04/10/20257th10/147%57%+0.10
16/10/202514th20/10%48%+0.48
28/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
11/06/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
01/07/202611th20/10%41%+0.41
11/07/20268th11/142%50%+0.08
22/08/202621st33/10%23%+0.23
21/09/202611th25/10%38%+0.38