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9

Chavajod

8yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 49

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 7f 205y

#9

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on a falling mark rather out of the blue in 10-runner event at Laytown (7f) just under 3 weeks ago, edging ahead close home. Cheekpieces back on but he doesn't appeal as the type to follow up.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA69 @ Killarney 22/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 69 · 1m30y Gd 139 · below its mark22/08/2025 · OR 69 par22/0869OR 69BHA68 @ Gowran Park 02/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 68 · 1m Goo 139 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 68 parBHA65 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 65 · 1m Std 135 · below its mark29/10/2025 · OR 65 par29/1065OR 65BHA63 @ Dundalk 19/11/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 63 · 1m Std 133 · below its mark19/11/2025 · OR 63 parBHA60 @ Dundalk 10/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 60 · 1m2f150y Std 142 · below its mark10/12/2025 · OR 60 par10/1260OR 60BHA57 @ Dundalk 06/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 57 · 1m Std 139 · below its mark06/03/2026 · OR 57 parBHA54 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 19th of 20 · OR 54 · 1m Goo 136 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 54 par12/0454OR 54BHA49 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 49 · 1m1f100y GF 131 · beat its mark12/08/2026 · OR 49 parBHA45 @ Laytown 10/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 45 · 7f Std 142 · beat its mark10/09/2026 · OR 45 par10/0945OR 45projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-10LaytownBHA451st1st0
2026-08-12Gowran ParkBHA497th7th0
2026-04-12LeopardstownBHA5419th19th0
2026-03-06DundalkBHA5712th12th0
2025-12-10DundalkBHA6013th13th0
2025-11-19DundalkBHA6314th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0819/1112/0410/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +11.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20258th10/147%50%+0.03
02/09/202515th6/168%7%-0.62
29/10/202514th20/10%0%0.00
19/11/202514th22/10%0%0.00
10/12/202513th20/10%8%+0.08
06/03/202612th7/163%8%-0.55
12/04/202619th25/10%5%+0.05
12/08/20267th50/10%57%+0.57
10/09/20261st18/15%100%+0.95