17
God Knows
7yo Mare · 9-12 · OR 54
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 7f 205y
#4
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
11%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 11.8 /10 (raw 6.7)
Highest class: BHA57
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | BHA57 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | BHA61 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Leopardstown | BHA63 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Leopardstown | BHA67 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Sligo | BHA71 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Curragh | BHA72 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength14%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 9th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2025 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 05/09/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 92% | +0.26 |
| 04/10/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 94% | +0.31 |
| 28/03/2026 | 14th | 8/1 | 58% | 41% | -0.17 |
| 03/05/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 15/05/2026 | 13th | 7/1 | 63% | 14% | -0.49 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 54% | +0.38 |
| 23/08/2026 | 10th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 05/09/2026 | 18th | 28/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |