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6

The Blue Panther

8yo Gelding · 9-12 · OR 54

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 7f 205y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#10

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Has popped up with handicap wins in 2024/2025, and he went close to opening his account for this year (denied a clear run) in a similar event at Gowran in July. Ran poorly at Leopardstown last time (drawn wide) and could be worth chancing for a new yard in reapplied cheekpieces.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA52 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 52 · 7f15y Hvy 135 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 52 par23/0952OR 52BHA61 @ Bellewstown 01/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 61 · 7f205y Sft 131 · beat its mark01/10/2025 · OR 61 parBHA61 @ Leopardstown 19/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 61 · 7f24y Hvy 131 · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 61 par19/1061OR 61C9 @ Gowran Park 09/04/2026 · Pos 15th of 16 · OR 60 · 7f180y Sft 142 · below its mark09/04/2026 · OR 60 parBHA58 @ Listowel 31/05/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR 58 · 7f Goo 140 · below its mark31/05/2026 · OR 58 par31/0558OR 58BHA55 @ Roscommon 30/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 55 · 7f94y Goo 137 · beat its mark30/06/2026 · OR 55 parBHA54 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR 54 · 1m40y Gd 136 · beat its mark15/07/2026 · OR 54 par15/0754OR 54BHA54 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR 54 · 7f Goo 136 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 54 parBHA57 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 16th of 17 · OR 57 · 7f42y Goo 140 · below its mark06/08/2026 · OR 57 par6/0857OR 57projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA5716th16th0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA542nd2nd0
2026-07-15KillarneyBHA549th9th0
2026-06-30RoscommonBHA554th4th0
2026-05-31ListowelBHA5813th13th0
2026-04-09Gowran Park?15th15th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/099/0415/076/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength34%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20251st10/147%100%+0.53
01/10/20254th13/266%79%+0.13
19/10/20255th6/168%56%-0.13
09/04/202615th14/126%7%-0.20
31/05/202613th16/116%14%-0.02
30/06/20264th40/10%79%+0.79
15/07/20269th33/10%33%+0.33
25/07/20262nd12/137%93%+0.56
06/08/202616th22/10%6%+0.06