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Whatswrongnow

5yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 48

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 7f 205y

#14

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Long-standing maiden who was placed for the seventh time this year when third of 14 at Roscommon last month. Not so good at Cork 3 weeks ago, however. Could well bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA49 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 21 · OR 49 · 5f Gd 131 · beat its mark24/06/2026 · OR 49 par24/0649OR 49BHA49 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR 49 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark01/07/2026 · OR 49 parBHA49 @ Bellewstown 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 49 · 5f3y Gd 131 · beat its mark03/07/2026 · OR 49 par3/0749OR 49BHA52 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 52 · 6f150y Gd 134 · beat its mark11/07/2026 · OR 52 parBHA52 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 52 · 5f Goo 134 · beat its mark17/07/2026 · OR 52 par17/0752OR 52BHA51 @ Cork 24/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 19 · OR 51 · 6f GF 133 · beat its mark24/07/2026 · OR 51 parBHA50 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 19 · OR 50 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 50 par23/0850OR 50BHA50 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 50 · 7f94y Yie 132 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 50 parBHA48 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 48 · 7f Goo 130 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 48 par9/0948OR 48projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA489th9th0
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA503rd3rd0
2026-08-23NaasBHA502nd2nd0
2026-07-24CorkBHA5112th12th0
2026-07-17Down RoyalBHA525th5th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA523rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0611/0723/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +5.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/202611th13/266%50%-0.16
01/07/20262nd4/179%94%+0.15
03/07/20266th4/179%58%-0.21
11/07/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
17/07/20265th4/179%60%-0.19
24/07/202612th13/266%39%-0.27
23/08/20262nd11/142%94%+0.52
31/08/20263rd20/10%85%+0.85
09/09/20269th15/261%62%+0.01