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11

Are You In Or Out

5yo Mare · 9-11 · OR 53

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y

#14

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 9.8 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA63 @ Fairyhouse 22/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 18 · OR 63 · 6f Yie 134 · below its mark22/09/2025 · OR 63 par22/0963OR 63BHA62 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 62 · 6f Sft 132 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 62 parBHA61 @ Curragh 16/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 26 · OR 61 · 7f Yie 131 · below its mark16/10/2025 · OR 61 par16/1061OR 61BHA60 @ Fairyhouse 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR 60 · 6f25y Gd 142 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 60 parBHA64 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 64 · 7f35y Sft 134 · below its mark11/06/2026 · OR 64 par11/0664OR 64BHA64 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR 64 · 7f Goo 137 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 64 parBHA63 @ Navan 11/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 63 · 5f180y Goo 133 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 63 par11/0763OR 63BHA61 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 21st of 27 · OR 61 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 61 parBHA56 @ Fairyhouse 21/09/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 56 · 6f Goo 126 · beat its mark21/09/2026 · OR 56 par21/0956OR 56projClass-projected finish: 22nd of 32
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-21FairyhouseBHA5611th11th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA6121th21th0
2026-07-11NavanBHA638th8th0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA6411th11th0
2026-06-11LeopardstownBHA647th7th0
2026-05-28FairyhouseBHA601st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0928/0511/0721/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 3265% of fieldRange 4-26 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength55%

Delivery trend +5.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 32. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/09/202512th7/282%35%-0.46
04/10/20257th10/147%57%+0.10
16/10/202514th20/10%48%+0.48
28/05/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
11/06/20267th8/158%45%-0.12
01/07/202611th20/10%41%+0.41
11/07/20268th11/142%50%+0.08
22/08/202621st33/10%23%+0.23
21/09/202611th25/10%38%+0.38