16
Fleetfootsoldier
6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 49
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y
#8
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | BHA58 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | BHA58 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Listowel | BHA60 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-13 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-10 | Dundalk | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-03 | Dundalk | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 3245% of fieldRange 17-32 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength10%
Delivery trend +1.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 18th of 32.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 11/8 | 93% | 38% | -0.54 |
| 03/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 10/12/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 13/02/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 18/06/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 12/07/2026 | 14th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |