IvyArcIvyArc
27

Haeret In Pectore

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 40

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y

#30

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#30

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 12.3)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA60 @ Curragh 05/05/2025 · Pos 20th of 25 · OR 60 · 7f Gd 130 · below its mark05/05/2025 · OR 60 par5/0560OR 60BHA55 @ Killarney 13/05/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 55 · 1m31y Gd 137 · below its mark13/05/2025 · OR 55 parBHA49 @ Limerick 11/06/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR 49 · 7f Gd 132 · beat its mark11/06/2025 · OR 49 par11/0649OR 49BHA42 @ Dundalk 17/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 42 · 7f Std 124 · beat its mark17/12/2025 · OR 42 parBHA40 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m2f150y Std 122 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 40 par13/0140OR 40BHA40 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 40 · 1m2f150y Std 122 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Sligo 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 40 · 1m2f158y Sft 122 · beat its mark03/05/2026 · OR 40 par3/0540OR 40BHA40 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 21st of 21 · OR 40 · 1m2f10y Gd 122 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 40 parBHA40 @ Down Royal 28/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 40 · 1m3f10y Goo 126 · beat its mark28/09/2026 · OR 40 par28/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 32nd of 32
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-28Down RoyalBHA4013th13th0
2026-09-05NavanBHA4021th21th0
2026-05-03SligoBHA406th6th0
2026-01-30DundalkBHA4012th12th0
2026-01-13DundalkBHA405th5th0
2025-12-17DundalkBHA425th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0517/123/0528/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish32nd of 320% of fieldRange 15-32 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength6%

Delivery trend -1.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 32nd of 32.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/05/202520th33/10%21%+0.21
13/05/202514th33/10%0%0.00
11/06/202515th28/10%0%0.00
17/12/20255th28/10%69%+0.69
13/01/20265th9/153%69%+0.17
30/01/202612th5/174%8%-0.65
03/05/20266th16/116%55%+0.39
05/09/202621st25/10%0%0.00
28/09/202613th50/10%8%+0.08