9
Little Miss P
4yo Filly · 9-12 · OR 54
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y
#25
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#25
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.7 /10 (raw 8.0)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-21 | Listowel | BHA56 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA61 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Killarney | BHA65 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA67 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Roscommon | BHA72 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA73 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish25th of 3223% of fieldRange 5-30 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +4.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 25th of 32. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 14/07/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 02/08/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |
| 12/04/2026 | 14th | 12/1 | 37% | 19% | -0.18 |
| 18/05/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 65% | +0.65 |
| 14/07/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 46% | +0.20 |
| 09/09/2026 | 17th | 33/1 | 0% | 6% | +0.06 |
| 21/09/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |