30
Master Garvey
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 40
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y
#26
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#26
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Dundalk | BHA40 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | BHA40 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA40 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Naas | BHA40 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA40 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish23rd of 3229% of fieldRange 1-31 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
Delivery trend -2.2% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 23rd of 32. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 20/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 09/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 22/07/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 41% | +0.15 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 06/08/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 01/09/2026 | 12th | 8/1 | 58% | 27% | -0.31 |