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20

Micasso

4yo Gelding · 9-4 · OR 46

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y

#2

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

11%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.1)

Highest class: BHA45
Recent avg: C4.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA48 @ Cork 10/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 21 · OR 48 · 7f Sft 126 · beat its mark10/09/2025 · OR 48 par10/0948OR 48BHA47 @ Listowel 23/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR 47 · 7f15y Hvy 127 · beat its mark23/09/2025 · OR 47 parBHA45 @ Cork 30/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 45 · 1m Yie 123 · beat its mark30/09/2025 · OR 45 par30/0945OR 45BHA48 @ Dundalk 14/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 48 · 1m Std 127 · beat its mark14/10/2025 · OR 48 parBHA46 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR 46 · 7f211y Gd 128 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 46 par2/0746OR 46BHA52 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 52 · 1m Std 134 · beat its mark12/07/2026 · OR 52 parBHA52 @ Leopardstown 06/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 52 · 7f42y Goo 135 · beat its mark06/08/2026 · OR 52 par6/0852OR 52BHA51 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR 51 · 1m20y Goo 133 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 51 parBHA47 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 22 · OR 47 · 7f Goo 129 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 47 par9/0947OR 47projClass-projected finish: 10th of 32
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA4710th10th0
2026-09-02NavanBHA514th4th0
2026-08-06LeopardstownBHA5211th11th0
2026-07-12DundalkBHA5212th12th0
2026-07-02BellewstownBHA461st1st0
2025-10-14DundalkBHA4812th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0914/106/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 3271% of fieldRange 1-32 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength39%

Delivery trend -6.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 32. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/09/20255th33/10%80%+0.80
23/09/20256th14/126%64%+0.38
30/09/20252nd9/153%92%+0.39
14/10/202512th7/282%15%-0.66
02/07/20261st22/10%100%+1.00
12/07/202612th16/116%15%-0.00
06/08/202611th33/10%38%+0.38
02/09/20264th15/261%80%+0.19
09/09/202610th6/168%57%-0.11