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24

Sunday Sovereign

9yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 42

Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y

#16

Rank

Odds

SP

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#16

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.2)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA58 @ Naas 04/08/2025 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 58 · 5f205y Goo 140 · below its mark04/08/2025 · OR 58 par4/0858OR 58BHA58 @ Curragh 30/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR 58 · 6f Goo 129 · beat its mark30/08/2025 · OR 58 parBHA54 @ Navan 06/09/2025 · Pos 18th of 18 · OR 54 · 5f Gd 124 · below its mark06/09/2025 · OR 54 par6/0954OR 54BHA51 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR 51 · 6f Sft 121 · beat its mark04/10/2025 · OR 51 parBHA48 @ Roscommon 13/10/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR 48 · 7f111y Sft 130 · beat its mark13/10/2025 · OR 48 par13/1048OR 48BHA49 @ Galway 27/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR 49 · 7f Hvy 131 · beat its mark27/10/2025 · OR 49 parBHA47 @ Fairyhouse 05/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 17 · OR 47 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 47 par5/0647OR 47BHA45 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 45 · 7f94y Yie 127 · beat its mark31/08/2026 · OR 45 parBHA42 @ Gowran Park 19/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 42 · 1m Yie 124 · beat its mark19/09/2026 · OR 42 par19/0942OR 42projClass-projected finish: 12th of 32
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-19Gowran ParkBHA4210th10th0
2026-08-31RoscommonBHA454th4th0
2026-06-05FairyhouseBHA4714th14th0
2025-10-27GalwayBHA498th8th0
2025-10-13RoscommonBHA483rd3rd0
2025-10-04CurraghBHA5111th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/084/105/0619/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 3261% of fieldRange 1-31 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength58%

Delivery trend +5.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 32. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/202516th11/271%12%-0.59
30/08/202510th28/10%55%+0.55
06/09/202518th25/10%0%0.00
04/10/202511th10/147%29%-0.19
13/10/20253rd14/126%86%+0.59
27/10/20258th10/147%50%+0.03
05/06/202614th33/10%19%+0.19
31/08/20264th40/10%77%+0.77
19/09/202610th10/147%40%-0.07