32
Tullyesker
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 40
Bellewstown · BOYLE Sports Handicap (0-60) · 0m 7f 205y
#32
Rank
Odds
SP
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#32
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 10.8 /10 (raw 10.8)
Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Punchestown | BHA40 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Bellewstown | BHA43 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Fairyhouse | BHA44 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Galway | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 17th | 17th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish28th of 3213% of fieldRange 12-21 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength50%
Delivery trend +6.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 28th of 32. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 17th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/10/2025 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 12/11/2025 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 01/07/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/08/2026 | 12th | 33/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |